Robertson Wang
Washington D.C., United States
Office: 1850 K Street
Email: robertsonwang [at] gmail.com
Phone: +1.(908).745.8075
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When Markets Dream in Cycles: Rational Bubbles and the Financial Accelerator

Authors: Suleman Dawood, Bjarni Einarsson, Adam Lee, and Robertson Wang

      We take the model developed by Bernanke & Gertler (1989) and introduce bubbles in the style of Martin & Ventura (2012) to demonstrate that within an economy with financial frictions, expectations on the value of unproductive assets can create cyclical and persistent effects in the real economy in the absence of productivity shocks. Our simple modification allows us to show that changes in entrepreneurial balance sheets can be driven purely by shifts in investor sentiments within the market for bubbles. Bubbles can be expansionary and Pareto improving so long as they continue to exist. But for bubbles to continually exist, the expectation that they will be purchased must be maintained throughout an infinity of generations. This fragility is what causes the cyclical nature of output. As these bubbles arise and disappear, balance sheet considerations can initiate and propagate changes in capital formation and output through the financial accelerator.